California Real Estate Forecast 2026: Ventura & LA County

The California real estate market continues to evolve rapidly, and 2026 is shaping up to be a pivotal year for homeowners, buyers, and investors — especially in Ventura County and Los Angeles County. Understanding where the market is headed is no longer optional. Home values, interest rates, inventory levels, and buyer behavior are all shifting, and those who stay informed will have a significant advantage when making real estate decisions.

As we move through 2026, one of the most noticeable trends is the stabilization of home prices across Southern California. After several years of aggressive price swings, the market is now showing healthier balance. Ventura County communities such as Simi Valley, Camarillo, Thousand Oaks, and Moorpark are seeing steady demand, particularly for single-story homes, updated properties, and homes located near schools and major commuter routes. Los Angeles County remains highly competitive, especially in family-oriented neighborhoods and areas offering strong long-term appreciation.

Interest rates remain one of the biggest factors influencing buyer and seller behavior this year. While rates are higher than the historic lows of previous years, they are creating opportunities for serious buyers and motivated sellers to negotiate more favorable terms. Sellers who understand how pricing, staging, and market timing work in this environment are consistently outperforming the broader market. Buyers who prepare financially and work with experienced professionals are securing excellent long-term investments.

Inventory levels in 2026 are still relatively tight, particularly for well-maintained homes under the median price range. This limited supply is keeping home values stable while reducing the extreme bidding wars seen in prior years. Homes that are priced correctly and marketed professionally are selling efficiently, while overpriced listings tend to sit longer and experience price reductions. This makes accurate pricing strategy more important than ever.

Another important trend shaping the market is the continued demand from relocating families and remote professionals. Ventura County’s coastal lifestyle, excellent schools, and growing business infrastructure continue to attract buyers from higher-cost metropolitan areas. Los Angeles County benefits from strong employment diversity and international interest, keeping long-term demand resilient despite economic fluctuations.

For homeowners considering selling in 2026, the market offers a unique window of opportunity. With fewer competing listings and steady buyer demand, sellers who prepare their homes properly and understand local market conditions are achieving excellent results. For buyers, this is a period of increased negotiation power, more thoughtful decision-making, and the ability to secure homes without the chaos of previous market cycles.

Ultimately, the California real estate forecast for 2026 favors informed, strategic decisions. Whether you are buying, selling, downsizing, relocating, or managing an inherited home, understanding your local market in Ventura County and Los Angeles County is the foundation of every successful move.

Is 2026 a good year to sell a home in California?
Yes. With stable pricing, limited inventory, and strong buyer demand in Ventura and Los Angeles Counties, many homeowners are achieving excellent sale results when properly positioned.

Will home prices drop in 2026?
Most local data indicates price stabilization rather than major declines, particularly in desirable neighborhoods and well-maintained properties.

Are interest rates expected to fall in 2026?
Rates may experience moderate adjustments, but they are expected to remain above pre-2022 levels. Buyers who understand financing options can still secure favorable opportunities.

What areas are seeing the highest demand?
Simi Valley, Camarillo, Thousand Oaks, Moorpark, and family-oriented neighborhoods throughout Los Angeles County remain highly sought after.

Should I wait or act now in 2026?
Market conditions currently favor informed action rather than waiting, especially for homeowners with clear goals.

Written by author:

Tricia Garcia — Inherited Homes & Senior Real Estate Specialist

Tricia Garcia is an inherited home and senior downsizing specialist with the Real Estate Toolbox Team. She helps seniors, families, and heirs navigate major life transitions including downsizing, selling long-held homes, and preparing inherited properties for sale. Her approach is educational, compassionate, and step-by-step.

Real Estate Toolbox Team
Steve Hise • Tricia Garcia • Pat Saraceno
Serving Simi Valley, Ventura County & Los Angeles County

805-424-6226 | www.RealEstateToolbox.com
eXp Realty — Licensed California REALTORS®
CA DRE #01702055 • #02032007 • #01052064